Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000116 0.000136 0.000157 0.000180 0.000207 0.000234 0.000265
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000111 0.000140 0.000175 0.000214 0.000258 0.000310
2024-12-22 0.000072 0.000101 0.000135 0.000176 0.000225 0.000281 0.000348
2024-12-29 0.000061 0.000091 0.000128 0.000176 0.000235 0.000302 0.000386
2025-01-05 0.000052 0.000083 0.000123 0.000176 0.000242 0.000319 0.000416
2025-01-12 0.000042 0.000073 0.000114 0.000170 0.000241 0.000327 0.000437
2025-01-19 0.000037 0.000069 0.000112 0.000173 0.000252 0.000348 0.000471
2025-01-26 0.000030 0.000060 0.000104 0.000166 0.000249 0.000352 0.000486
2025-02-02 0.000026 0.000057 0.000102 0.000167 0.000257 0.000369 0.000516
2025-02-09 0.000022 0.000052 0.000097 0.000166 0.000260 0.000380 0.000540
2025-02-16 0.000021 0.000051 0.000099 0.000171 0.000273 0.000404 0.000578
2025-02-23 0.000018 0.000048 0.000097 0.000173 0.000280 0.000420 0.000608
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000043 0.000091 0.000169 0.000281 0.000429 0.000631
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000038 0.000087 0.000166 0.000284 0.000441 0.000657
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000035 0.000083 0.000166 0.000289 0.000455 0.000686
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000033 0.000082 0.000167 0.000297 0.000474 0.000722
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000030 0.000079 0.000166 0.000301 0.000486 0.000748
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000026 0.000073 0.000161 0.000299 0.000491 0.000765
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000025 0.000073 0.000163 0.000308 0.000511 0.000801
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000021 0.000067 0.000157 0.000303 0.000511 0.000812
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000020 0.000066 0.000158 0.000310 0.000529 0.000846
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000018 0.000063 0.000157 0.000313 0.000540 0.000871
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000018 0.000065 0.000162 0.000326 0.000566 0.000916